Racing Profiler

Creating profiles of winners in British National Hunt horse racing 365 days a year

Tuesday in May

Updated 1/6/10

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Ffos Las 8.00 Adare Manor 4th 8/1 is the pick of the general profile. also favoured by local profile jockeyship and age elements although the more significant element of the local profile - lightest weighted lightly handicapped horses seems to point to Ajman WON 15/2 .

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Handicap Hurdles

Now that we have finished our successful month-long May study of Novices' Hurdles, it's time to cast a glance at some other race-types in June. Later this month we'll release a Special E-Book Guide to all Novices' Hurdles just for our followers.

Like with the Novices' Hurdles, there is a general profile for Handicap Hurdles. Here is what it says: Short list horses in the weight brackets of top-weight and middle-weight (defined as 10-10 to 11-3 with exceptions if lowest weight much above 10-0). In the list seek lightly handicapped horses (no more than 3 handicaps raced) and/or distance winners. Look next at the best previous form among those selected. Look next among those left for trainer with the best record (in-form or course or winner of this race last year).

Again, like with the Novices' Hurdles, the general profile sometimes points to winners and sometimes does not and so we have local profiles for each different course to offer an alternative view. Here is the local profile for Ffos Las:

This post-race profile was recorded in a Class 3 4yo+ 0-130 HH over 2m6f Soft in November.
Keys: Age, lightly handicapped, JFC/sr/vol (5 yr)
For the second time at this course today the lowest weight lightly handicapped candidate won a middle distance handicap race (albeit the other was a HCap Chase) and that has to count for something. TFC was non-existent though JFC was #1 on vol and sr over 5 years, only ranking #3 on vol in recent weeks. Some 9PFF with a recent win but plenty of better candidates here. No course or distance credentials (other here had distance wins). One of only 2 6yos (I preferred the other which was only fit on HH weight range but came nowhere).

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