Racing Profiler

Creating profiles of winners in British National Hunt horse racing 365 days a year

Thursday in May

Updated 27/5/10

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Wetherby 5.45 Lady Soughton NR is the selection of the general profile. Meanwhile Profiles 1 and 2 go with Astrolibra 2nd 15/8 . The Wetherby Profile (Profile 4) which picked the 9/1 winner yesterday (sorry I didn't publish) despite generally making a loss right now favours Knar Mardy WON 17/2 and since this is a mares-only race we have the rare opportunity to consult Profile 3 which also points to Knar Mardy WON 17/2.

The table below has been provided to help you decide which of the profiles you want to follow.

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A Study Of Novices' Hurdles Using Profiles in May - The Story So Far

This month we are continuing to focus on Novices' Hurdles. There is a general profile (also known as Profile 0 or P0 or the Stratford), three alternative profiles (P1, P2 and P4 also known as The Wetherby), a local profile (depending on the race course) and sometimes a local spoiler profile. Of course, that's a lot of profiles but, since we started this study in earnest early in April, a Novices' Hurdle has not been run wherein the winner did not meet at least one or more of these profiles. That was until the last week or so when no less than five horses missed the profiles completely but the profiles have been re-calibrated since to include even these five winners.

So that's well over thirty races that we have shortlisted and the shortlist has included the winner every time. Sunday's NH winner at Perth, Nedzer's Return was picked by all the profiles thus continuing to stamp their authority. Added to that, in the past week or so no less than eight forecasts have been included in the three main selections from the profiles listed on this site. The profiles themselves have been detailed often in these pages and can be found on this page.

By examining the May records to date of each of the profiles below, you can make an informed judgement as to which profile you might like to consider when perusing the tips at the top of the page. In summary, Profiles 0 and 2 continue to turn a profit in May with Profile 2 consistently showing the best performance (we expect Profile 0 to re-establish its authority in the back half of the month) whilst Profiles 1, 3 and 4, plus the local and spoiler profiles are now all making a loss and so will not be endorsed in our tips section (above) until such time as they come back into profit.

Novices' Hurdle Profile Performance and Profitability Table - May to Date

Profile	Wins/Runs	Strike Rate	Earnings	Interest Rate
2	10/23	43.5%	164.86	82.43%
0	10/28	35.71%	97.40	48.7%

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